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What Exactly Are Your Chances Of Winning?
by Stephen Agar
These tables are based on UK postal Diplomacy games started from
1969 - 1991.
Percentage of Outright Wins for each Power as a % of all Outright Wins
| Year |
A |
E |
F |
G |
I |
R |
T |
Total Wins |
| 1969 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
100.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
2 |
| 1970 |
00.00 |
66.67 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
33.33 |
00.00 |
3 |
| 1971 |
16.67 |
16.67 |
00.00 |
50.00 |
00.00 |
16.67 |
00.00 |
6 |
| 1972 |
4.55 |
4.55 |
9.09 |
31.82 |
9.09 |
27.27 |
13.64 |
22 |
| 1973 |
17.65 |
7.84 |
17.65 |
13.73 |
11.76 |
17.65 |
13.73 |
51 |
| 1974 |
9.84 |
13.11 |
14.75 |
13.11 |
13.11 |
21.31 |
14.75 |
61 |
| 1975 |
14.71 |
13.24 |
14.71 |
14.71 |
10.29 |
22.06 |
10.29 |
68 |
| 1976 |
14.63 |
19.51 |
12.20 |
10.98 |
10.98 |
15.85 |
15.85 |
82 |
| 1977 |
6.58 |
11.84 |
13.16 |
18.42 |
10.53 |
19.74 |
19.74 |
76 |
| 1978 |
7.5 |
8.75 |
13.75 |
21.25 |
13.75 |
16.25 |
18.75 |
80 |
| 1979 |
10.34 |
10.34 |
20.69 |
13.79 |
12.07 |
18.97 |
13.79 |
58 |
| 1980 |
12.00 |
6.00 |
34.00 |
20.00 |
8.00 |
14.00 |
6.00 |
50 |
| 1981 |
8.96 |
4.48 |
23.88 |
28.36 |
7.46 |
16.42 |
10.45 |
67 |
| 1982 |
19.64 |
10.71 |
12.50 |
16.07 |
8.93 |
16.07 |
16.07 |
56 |
| 1983 |
8.20 |
11.48 |
14.75 |
16.39 |
11.48 |
19.67 |
18.03 |
61 |
| 1984 |
16.67 |
7.58 |
13.64 |
16.67 |
10.61 |
16.67 |
18.18 |
66 |
| 1985 |
11.29 |
14.52 |
12.90 |
14.52 |
12.90 |
12.90 |
20.97 |
62 |
| 1986 |
7.27 |
18.18 |
20.00 |
16.36 |
9.09 |
12.73 |
16.36 |
55 |
| 1987 |
15.00 |
8.33 |
21.67 |
16.67 |
6.67 |
23.33 |
8.33 |
60 |
| 1988 |
15.00 |
10.00 |
17.50 |
17.50 |
10.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
40 |
| 1989 |
11.54 |
11.54 |
11.54 |
11.54 |
23.08 |
15.38 |
15.38 |
26 |
| 1990 |
21.43 |
7.14 |
14.29 |
14.29 |
7.14 |
21.43 |
14.29 |
14 |
| 1991 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
50.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
50.00 |
2 |
| TOTAL |
11.89 |
11.14 |
16.57 |
17.13 |
10.67 |
17.70 |
14.89 |
1068 |
Percentage of Outright Wins for each Power as a % of all Completed Games
| Year |
A |
E |
F |
G |
I |
R |
T |
Total Games |
| 1969 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
100.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
2 |
| 1970 |
00.00 |
40.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
20.00 |
00.00 |
5 |
| 1971 |
14.29 |
14.29 |
00.00 |
42.86 |
00.00 |
14.29 |
00.00 |
7 |
| 1972 |
3.13 |
3.13 |
6.25 |
21.88 |
6.25 |
18.75 |
9.38 |
32 |
| 1973 |
10.59 |
4.71 |
10.59 |
8.24 |
7.06 |
10.59 |
8.24 |
85 |
| 1974 |
6.45 |
8.60 |
9.68 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
13.98 |
9.68 |
93 |
| 1975 |
11.11 |
10.00 |
11.11 |
11.11 |
7.78 |
16.67 |
7.78 |
90 |
| 1976 |
9.92 |
13.22 |
8.26 |
7.44 |
7.44 |
10.74 |
10.74 |
121 |
| 1977 |
4.07 |
7.32 |
8.13 |
11.38 |
6.50 |
12.20 |
12.20 |
123 |
| 1978 |
4.84 |
5.65 |
8.87 |
13.71 |
8.87 |
10.48 |
12.10 |
124 |
| 1979 |
6.67 |
6.67 |
13.33 |
8.89 |
7.78 |
12.22 |
8.89 |
90 |
| 1980 |
6.98 |
3.49 |
19.77 |
11.63 |
4.65 |
8.14 |
3.49 |
86 |
| 1981 |
5.45 |
2.73 |
14.55 |
17.27 |
4.55 |
10.00 |
6.36 |
110 |
| 1982 |
11.46 |
6.25 |
7.29 |
9.38 |
5.21 |
9.38 |
9.38 |
96 |
| 1983 |
5.26 |
7.37 |
9.47 |
10.53 |
7.37 |
12.63 |
11.58 |
95 |
| 1984 |
9.65 |
4.39 |
7.89 |
9.65 |
6.14 |
9.65 |
10.53 |
114 |
| 1985 |
6.19 |
7.96 |
7.08 |
7.96 |
7.08 |
7.08 |
11.50 |
113 |
| 1986 |
4.21 |
10.53 |
11.58 |
9.47 |
5.26 |
7.37 |
9.47 |
95 |
| 1987 |
8.65 |
4.81 |
12.50 |
9.62 |
3.85 |
13.46 |
4.81 |
104 |
| 1988 |
8.33 |
5.56 |
9.72 |
9.72 |
5.56 |
8.33 |
8.33 |
72 |
| 1989 |
5.26 |
5.26 |
5.26 |
5.26 |
10.53 |
7.02 |
7.02 |
57 |
| 1990 |
13.04 |
4.35 |
8.70 |
8.70 |
4.35 |
13.04 |
8.70 |
23 |
| 1991 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
16.67 |
00.00 |
00.00 |
16.67 |
2 |
| TOTALS |
7.29 |
6.83 |
10.15 |
10.50 |
6.54 |
10.84 |
9.12 |
1743 |
First published in Spring Offensive No.9
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